Wisdom starts with admitting ignorance

Journalists recognize Tesla has pushed into virgin territory with unique products built in unique ways, so their journalism experience will not serve them here. Their business-writing acumen, whether that’s two years or 40 years, is moot. It’s impossible for a pundit, or even Tesla’s CEO, to predict with any certainty which of its next steps will be easy or hard, quick or tortuously long. Tesla’s inexperience could help or hurt. Nobody really knows. And so automotive columnists wisely drop their keyboards and STFU instead of claiming to have expertise about a non-existent path forward, right?

Actually, no. They don’t do any of that.

May 10, 2013, Time MagazineTesla Beats the Odds — and the Haters — but Now Comes the Hard Part

April 2, 2016, Business Insider — Tesla is About to Face the Biggest Challenge in its History

May 2, 2017, Barron’s — Tesla Motors: And Now the Hard Part

May 9, 2017, The Banks Report — Tesla’s Retail Model May Be its Biggest Challenge

August 1, 2017, Driving — Tesla’s Model 3 Debuts — Now Comes the Hard Part

November 26, 2017, Jalopnik — Tesla’s New Semi Truck Might be its Biggest Challenge Yet

December 29, 2017, Seeking AlphaTiming Will be Tesla’s Biggest Challenge in 2018

February 16, 2018, Wealth Daily — The Rare Metal Solving Tesla’s Biggest Challenge

October 3, 2018, Seeking AlphaTesla: Q4 Now the Hard Part

December 14, 2018, Teslarati — Tesla Faces Biggest Challenge Yet as Oil Industry Fights to Maintain its Hold on US Auto

December 20, 2018, ForbesTesla Survived Manufacturing Hell — Now Comes the Hard Part


6 thoughts on “Wisdom starts with admitting ignorance

  1. Earl Colby Pottinger says:

    Reminds me of the early 1980’s when we had a big hot-shot business man complain that we sent a young man to give him instructions on a new program that would run his entire business.

    He wanted an older and more experienced person to give instructions to him and his staff.

    We then pointed out the young man was the original programmer and there was NO ONE with more experience with the program in the ENTIRE WORLD!

    Age does not always equal more skill.

    Liked by 1 person

  2. John Hanna says:

    That no-one can really measure much about the hills and valleys in Tesla’s future is both its risk and its secret sauce. That polarity has been consumed as ambivalence by the incumbent industry, allowing to fall asleep at the switch, dreaming all the while that the usual influences will snuff out this upstart. Now it’s an upstart with a head start – with attitude. And a massive demonstrated capacity to keep pushing the lead.
    The risk side of the coin feels like its lessening as Musk demonstrates routinely his superior knack for understanding what the buying public wants ; which is to say he’s shown he knows more about brand development than any other current automaker’s management.
    But then, maybe someone else brilliant and driven will come along to truly challenge (oops, there’s that word – I did say maybe) Elon’s entrepreneurship and vision.
    If so, it would be welcomed, not the least by Musk himself.

    Liked by 1 person

  3. Earl Colby Pottinger says:

    I don’t think Elon would mind. He is very stretched now, if there really was a great car design out there to compete against the Tesla, it also would be meeting his goal to compete against all the ICE cars out there.

    With SpaceX, Boring Company, Solar City, Neuralink already, I am sure dropping a company to run on it’s own would not bother him.

    PS. Could you add spaces between paragraphs.


  4. John Hanna says:

    (Looks like I could stand a proofread as well!)

    It’s not just that a worthy EV competitor would further Tesla’s stated mission. It would reveal that all the adverse press is actually a voiced aversion to successful and advancing electrification, not uniquely to Tesla or Musk.

    But no other company or entrepreneur has risen to the point of being identifiable as THE threat to the existence of future FF-connected profits, so all the artillery can have a singular focus.

    What better way to identify what an interest group considers its most fearsome threat than to take measure of the money and effort it has marshalled against that threat.

    Another Tesla-level successful entry or more would divide the incoming bullets and strengthen the shields.

    Those concerned about protecting TSLA against competition – even worthy competition – need not be. A 2018 survey found more than half (!) of Americans are looking to buy electric as their next auto purchase. This represents far more EVs than the world’s manufacturers can currently make, or currently (through 2025, at least) plan to make.

    So the top EV brands will sell everything they can make for the foreseeable future. The Tesla Effect has created more demand than Tesla will ever be able to satisfy on its own.


  5. Earl Colby Pottinger says:

    I am really hoping the Porsche and Jaguars live up to their hype.

    Nothing like having those two brands making big electric sales.


  6. Whity Whiteman says:

    Thanks for being back!

    Liked by 1 person

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